I share criticism
that some of the questions in the recently released Caddell-McLaughlin
poll were quite tilted, shedding doubt on the utility of the poll. But a
fuller context for the effort to poll American Jews is long overdue.
Peyton Craighill, The Post’s polling manager, doesn’t merely take
issue with this poll. He offers some important cautions about efforts to
poll a very small segment of the electorate. He told me yesterday,
“It’s extremely difficult to find timely, reliable polling of Jewish
samples. I know what Pew and Gallup have are based primarily on very
large aggregations of Jewish respondents from their typical [random]
samples. They basically pull together lots of interviews from their
monthly or tracking polls.” There have been efforts to do more exact
sampling, he says: “I know that the Pew Forum on Religion did a major
poll in 2007 called their Religious Landscape Survey where they drilled
down to a variety of denominations. They conducted over 35,000
interviews for that survey and got somewhere around 680 Jews using
rigorous [random] sampling procedures.” Of course, this is “very
expensive and time-consuming,” he notes.
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